Shiller sees scope for further home price declines up to 25%

Case-Shiller Index: Decline in Housing Prices Continues. San Francisco, Las Vegas and Phoenix continued to lead decliners, reporting an annual price deterioration of 31.0%, 31.7% and 32.7%, respectively. Miami, Los Angeles, and San Diego were close behind with annual declines of 29.0%, 27.9% and 26.7%, respectively.

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Robert Shiller is out with a fantastic piece in the NY Times today on the housing decline. Shiller writes: HOME prices in the United States have been falling for nearly three years, and the decline may well continue for some time. Even the federal government has projected price decreases through 2010.

Robert Shiller, the Yale professor who started the index along with Karl Case of Wellesley, said this month that "there’s a substantial risk of home prices falling another 15%, 20% or 25%."

The chart on the previous page depicts the annual returns of the U.S. National, the 10-City Composite and the 20-City Composite Home Price Indices. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. national home price index, which covers all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a 5.1% decline in the first quarter of 2011 over the first quarter of 2010.

In fact, the deep price cuts at the store led to a 25. up with more ways to convince customers to opt for its stores and products over Wal-Mart’s, as its scope for further price cuts is likely.

The U.S. raised existing tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese goods to 25% from. showed a further moderation in house price inflation, which could help support the struggling housing market. But a.

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There is room for home prices to decline another 10% to 25% in real terms over the next five years, according to Shiller.

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More refinancing homeowners choose shorter loan terms Choosing to take out a home loan with a 40 year term will have even lower repayments than a 30 year loan term-,805.20 on $350,000 loan with a rate of 5.50% compared to $1,987.26 with a 30 year.

According to the February 2011 S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, single-family home prices in the San Francisco MSA fell 2.6% from January ’11 to February ’11, down 40.5% from a peak in May 2006 and down 3.5% on a year-over-year (YOY) basis, a steady slide from the 18.3% gain reported last May and the third consecutive month of year-over.

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